Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Mansfield
29.6%
Draw
30.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Mansfield
vs
0.91
Wigan
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).