Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Hartlepool
29.8%
Draw
52.9%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Hartlepool
vs
1.38
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).