Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Spartans
33.2%
Draw
28.3%
Stranraer
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Spartans
vs
1.03
Stranraer
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).