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19 Aug 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.2%
Valladolid
21.5%
Draw
60.3%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Valladolid

vs
2.01

Espanol

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.6%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).