Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Monaco
21.7%
Draw
13.3%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Monaco
vs
0.66
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).