Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Augsburg
33.1%
Draw
31.5%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Augsburg
vs
0.94
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).