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DHT: 11CSV

02 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.2%
Yeni Malatyaspor
34.8%
Draw
42.9%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
1.31

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.2%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).