Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.9%
Kayserispor
16.9%
Draw
78.2%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Kayserispor
vs
2.58
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-3
11.8%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
8.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.8%
1-4
4.6%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
2.5%
1-5
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).