Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Tondela
33.0%
Draw
47.1%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Tondela
vs
1.17
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-0
17.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-3
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).