Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Millwall
28.3%
Draw
39.4%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Millwall
vs
1.36
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).