Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.9%
Darmstadt
25.1%
Draw
57.0%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Darmstadt
vs
1.73
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).