Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
St Etienne
26.2%
Draw
18.0%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
St Etienne
vs
0.62
Bastia
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.6%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).