Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Roma
23.2%
Draw
10.8%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Roma
vs
0.49
Lecce
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
2-0
16.0%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).