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HHT: 10CSV

24 Nov 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.8%
Ross County
33.2%
Draw
43.0%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Ross County

vs
1.25

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.1%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
12.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).