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13 Aug 2022 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.3%
Eibar
32.2%
Draw
18.6%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Eibar

vs
0.56

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS28.7%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.549.7%
Over 2.523.6%
Over 3.58.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
21.0%
0-0
18.6%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
11.6%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-0
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).