Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Plymouth
23.2%
Draw
28.3%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Plymouth
vs
1.12
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).