Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Castellon
20.0%
Draw
20.2%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Castellon
vs
1.19
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).