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22 Dec 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.3%
Trabzonspor
27.0%
Draw
9.7%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Trabzonspor

vs
0.62

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).