Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Auxerre
21.9%
Draw
64.8%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Auxerre
vs
1.71
Aris
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-2
14.4%
1-1
9.6%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
5.0%
0-4
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).