Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Rio Ave
16.7%
Draw
71.5%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Rio Ave
vs
2.32
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).