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AHT: 12CSV

08 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Hibernian
27.6%
Draw
39.7%
Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Hibernian

vs
1.40

Rangers

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).