Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Birmingham
29.0%
Draw
25.9%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Birmingham
vs
1.01
Preston
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).