Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Wrexham
25.5%
Draw
24.5%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Wrexham
vs
1.16
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).