Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.5%
Degerfors
21.6%
Draw
65.9%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Degerfors
vs
2.09
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
0-1
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
0-4
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).