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11 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.6%
LNZ Cherkasy
29.3%
Draw
51.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

LNZ Cherkasy

vs
1.32

Shakhtar Donetsk

Markets

BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.0%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).