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21 Oct 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.8%
Sheffield United
14.9%
Draw
76.2%
Man United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Sheffield United

vs
2.96

Man United

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
6.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-4
6.1%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-5
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).