Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.9%
Oviedo
14.3%
Draw
78.8%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Oviedo
vs
2.55
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.5%
0-3
11.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
0-4
7.3%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
6.8%
1-4
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
0-5
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
1-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).