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AHT: 01CSV

11 Feb 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.5%
Scunthorpe
14.9%
Draw
78.6%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.48

Scunthorpe

vs
2.27

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS33.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
16.5%
0-1
14.8%
0-3
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-1
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
0-5
3.2%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).