Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.8%
Maidstone
8.4%
Draw
88.8%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Maidstone
vs
3.38
Notts County
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.575.3%
Over 3.555.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
12.6%
0-2
11.1%
0-4
10.6%
0-5
7.2%
1-3
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
1-4
5.9%
1-5
4.0%
1-1
4.0%
0-0
2.3%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).