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03 Mar 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.4%
Kortrijk
21.9%
Draw
20.7%
RWD Molenbeek

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Kortrijk

vs
1.20

RWD Molenbeek

Markets

BTTS62.0%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).