Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Almeria
13.7%
Draw
8.7%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Almeria
vs
0.84
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
6.6%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).