Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Cheltenham
26.4%
Draw
45.2%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Cheltenham
vs
1.35
Accrington
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).