Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.6%
Sutton
23.6%
Draw
36.8%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Sutton
vs
1.75
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS69.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
2-3
4.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).