Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Amiens
23.7%
Draw
31.0%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Amiens
vs
1.18
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).