Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Preston
31.7%
Draw
34.7%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Preston
vs
1.08
Stoke
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).