Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Metz
21.4%
Draw
44.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Metz
vs
1.74
Lorient
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).