Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Lorient
22.5%
Draw
45.6%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Lorient
vs
1.69
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).