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08 Feb 2026 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.7%
Katowice
27.1%
Draw
21.2%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Katowice

vs
0.94

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).