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07 Feb 2026 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.7%
Fatih Karagümrük
36.3%
Draw
29.0%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Fatih Karagümrük

vs
1.01

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).