Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Bologna
27.4%
Draw
21.2%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Bologna
vs
0.77
Parma
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).