Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Lille
24.8%
Draw
40.0%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Lille
vs
1.43
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).