Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Fulham
32.1%
Draw
34.2%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Fulham
vs
1.15
Everton
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.1%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).