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14 Apr 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.7%
Clermont
25.5%
Draw
18.8%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Clermont

vs
0.74

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS40.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).