Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Las Palmas
32.2%
Draw
23.4%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Las Palmas
vs
0.69
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.552.2%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.6%
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).