Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Ayr
30.2%
Draw
48.5%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Ayr
vs
1.49
Livingston
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).