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AHT: 03CSV

19 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.7%
Eupen
32.0%
Draw
29.3%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Eupen

vs
0.92

Seraing

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
13.8%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).