⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 11CSV

27 Dec 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.6%
Ankaragucu
32.0%
Draw
24.5%
Umraniyespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Ankaragucu

vs
1.09

Umraniyespor

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.4%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).