Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Palermo
32.4%
Draw
34.0%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Palermo
vs
1.07
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).