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26 Dec 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.8%
Norwich
29.7%
Draw
20.5%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Norwich

vs
0.80

Charlton

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).