Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.0%
Dunfermline
15.0%
Draw
5.1%
Montrose
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Dunfermline
vs
0.47
Montrose
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
1-1
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
5-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).